The Ambivalent Effect of Autocratization on Domestic Terrorism

Lott L, Croissant A, Trinn C (2023)

Publication Language: English

Publication Status: In review

Publication Type: Journal article, Original article

Future Publication Type: Journal article

Publication year: 2023

Journal

Studies in Conflict & Terrorism Taylor & Francis (Routledge)

DOI: 10.1080/1057610X.2023.2270479

Abstract

This study asks if a decline of democratic regime attributes affects the volume of domestic terrorism. We argue that different forms of autocratization may stimulate or suppress terrorist activities. Democratic backsliding may dampen domestic terrorism, while autocratic consolidation may make autocracies more vulnerable to terrorism. This study empirically tests these assumptions on time-series cross-sectional data on domestic terrorism in 182 countries between 1970 and 2020 with a difference-in-differences design. We find that democratic backsliding reduces the amount of terrorism in the short to medium term. Autocratic consolidation increases the number of terrorist attacks in the short to medium term.

Authors with CRIS profile

Lars Lott Professor of International Politics of Human Rights

Involved external institutions

Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg

Germany (DE)

How to cite

APA:

Lott, L., Croissant, A., & Trinn, C. (2023). The Ambivalent Effect of Autocratization on Domestic Terrorism. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2023.2270479

MLA:

Lott, Lars, Aurel Croissant, and Christoph Trinn. "The Ambivalent Effect of Autocratization on Domestic Terrorism." Studies in Conflict & Terrorism (2023).

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